Category Archives: Capital Markets

NAFTA’s unexpected impact on Illinois

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Representatives from Canada, Mexico and the U.S. recently entered into the fourth round of negotiations on the North American Free Trade Agreement. While interests are wide-ranging and competing, the major focus has been on “rules of origin,” which look at the location breakdown of where products are manufactured to determine trade statistics, procurement and preferential treatment.

As negotiations continue, the State of Illinois, its economy and its real estate could be affected in good, bad and surprising ways:

The singularity is near

NAFTA

While some argue that the U.S. has lost 350,000 manufacturing jobs since 1994 due to trade with Mexico, others note this decline started well before NAFTA began. Tracking employment against manufacturing output is the most telling, as we’re seeing a sharp increase in productivity, despite fewer jobs. The answer: Robots and automation are making U.S. manufacturing more efficient. It’s not “Westworld,” but maybe it’s not far off..

Illinois is increasingly exposed

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Overheard at NAIOP CRE Converge 2017: Top trends and takeaways

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We were on the scene at NAIOP CRE Converge today, and the common theme was the inevitability of technology and its increasing influence on the commercial real estate industry and beyond. In addition to a podcast recap from our hosts of Real Time, JLL Chicago’s Industrial podcast, we’ve pulled together top future-state tech trends.

Listen to this podcast with the player above or click here.

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Autonomous vehicles

How will autonomous vehicles impact parking requirements and more fundamentally, how we view space? With blockchain technology and macro integration of data, we will be able to view individual properties and sections of cities and towns. Consider the city a body and all the external factors (autonomous vehicles, social norms, etc.) organs. In order to understand how the body functions, you need to have a grasp on each organ and how they interrelate, and technology will help us do that. Eventually that will lead to smarter decision-making when constructing, leasing, managing and selling.… Read More

Two million-square-footers in I-80?!

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industrial stats

Welcome to Episode 8.5 of Real Time, JLL Chicago’s industrial podcast. In this episode, the team previews the Chicago market’s third quarter industrial statistics, breaking down everything from vacancy and absorption to investment sales and intermodal traffic. The highlights:

  • Vacancy’s up, but the good news is it’s due to spec deliveries
  • Two million-square-footers going up in I-80 – that’s never happened before!
  • A million-square-foot deal remains elusive this year, but things are ramping up post summer slowdown
  • Intermodal traffic is up, which is a positive sign for big box demand

Keep your eyes peeled for a detailed submarket report in the coming weeks!

Hosted by: Industrial market research experts George Cutro and Chad Buch

Listen to this three-minute podcast with the player above or click here.

Full Q3 2017 Research report here.

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Budget backlash for Illinois industrial? Nope…

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budget

Welcome to Episode 6 of JLL Chicago Industrial – Real Time, our Industrial Research podcast. In this episode:

  • Sure, taxes are up, but there are more positives than we think
  • Illinois isn’t the only state grappling with significant long-term obligations
  • Investors can’t ignore Chicago’s universal truths as the nation’s transportation hub, second-largest industrial market by square footage and largest inland port

Hosted by: Industrial market research experts George Cutro and Chad Buch

Featuring: Research and economics pro Christian Beaudoin

Listen to this 10-minute podcast with the player above or click here.

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Interested in hearing more industrial real estate insights? Listen to all podcast episodes here.… Read More

The Illinois Budget Challenge: Your questions, answered

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Yesterday in Springfield, the Illinois House of Representatives voted to override a veto by Governor Bruce Rauner and to pass a budget that includes spending reductions and state income tax increases. This measure gives the State of Illinois its first formal budget in three years.

The good news

Passage of this budget provides some level of certainty for the companies and individuals that have been delaying decisions based on the state’s spending and taxation proposals. It also provides rating agencies with a better understanding of the state’s plan for meeting its financial obligations.

The tax news

Effective July 1, 2017, individual income taxes will rise from 3.75 percent to 4.95 percent. Corporate income tax rates will increase from 5.25 percent to 7 percent. These increases represent a 33 percent jump in personal and corporate income taxes for Illinois residents and companies.

What will happen to the commercial real estate market in this new environment?

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Chicago Property Tax Update: What you need to know

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On June 13, 2017 the 2016 property tax rates, calculated by the Cook County Clerk’s office, were released. This is the final step in the tax process before bills are mailed. The average City of Chicago residential taxpayer should expect to see a roughly 10 percent increase in their property tax bill and commercial property owners (or their tenants) should expect an increase of approximately 9.3 percent in their property taxes.

property tax

1. Average composite tax rates are shown. Actual tax rates may vary. 2. Tax bills based on an average commercial property with a market value of $270,000. Actual tax bills will vary. Source: Cook County Clerk David Orr. Memo dated June 13, 2017.

Tenant implications

While this tax increase was not unexpected, commercial property owners and tenants should be prepared for the implications on their expenses this billing cycle.… Read More

Chicago’s top 5 shopping districts

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Chicago's top 5 shopping districts

“Whoever said money can’t buy happiness simply didn’t know where to go shopping.” –Bo Derek

Whoever said that simply didn’t know about prime urban corridors. These nationally recognized shopping districts, both existing and emerging, are propelling brick and mortar retail into the 21st century, featuring high-tech homages to the brands we love and those we’re just getting to know.

Chicago’s top 5 retail corridors cater to a broad audience of tourists and locals, some placing a premium on luxury while others prioritize value and convenience. Just in time for ICSC RECon, we chatted with top JLL Chicago Retail brokers about each corridor’s inner workings.… Read More

Retail therapy draws tenants to suburban Class A product

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Shopping on your lunch hour never gets old. Especially in the suburbs, where the live/work/play perks of urban density are in short supply. Suburban malls offer the opportunity to run errands during lunch, while also conveniently supporting a wide array of business amenities such as restaurants and event space for everyday meetings and larger corporate gatherings.

Across suburban Chicago, Class A office properties within a mile of a major mall are outperforming their competition in three out of four major suburban submarkets. While the area around Woodfield Mall appears to be flagging, JLL Research attributes that to Zurich’s relocation and expects occupancy to soon mirror the strength of its peers.

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Industrial Podcast: Chicago’s changing industrial real estate landscape

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industrial podcast

Welcome to Episode 4 of JLL Chicago Industrial – Real Time, our Industrial Research podcast hosted by George Cutro and Chad Buch. In this “live” episode, the team is on the scene at JLL Chicago Industrial‘s client event, “The Changing Landscape of Chicago Industrial Real Estate.” They sat down with JLL’s Trevor Ragsdale, Kris Bjorson, John Picchiotti, Ben Bischmann and Debra Bonebrake for candid conversations on top trends, market outlooks and the latest JLL Industrial news.


Listen to the podcast with the player above or CLICK HERE.

industrial podcast

Our expert industrial panel: Keith Stauber, Matt Powers, George Cutro, John Picchiotti, John Huguenard and Trevor Ragsdale

The theme of this “Pardon the Interruption”-style panel, inspired by the famous show, was the future. On the heels of 23 consecutive quarters of positive net absorption, the Chicago industrial market is thriving and evolving. Some top takeaways:… Read More

Spotlight on Schaumburg: Strong and steady wins the race

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Schaumburg

JLL’s Northwest Market leasing and research teams: Adam Pines, Christian Beaudoin, Mark Kolar and Jack Trager

Suburban Chicago office may be the tortoise, not the hare, from the old fable, but the market is steadily trending up with healthy fundamentals and tenant demand. More than 50 suburban business leaders joined JLL, the Schaumburg Business Association and the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, along with additional sponsors Andigo, the Village of Schaumburg, CP Apparel and Guaranteed Rate, last week to discuss the local commercial real estate climate and the impact of economic conditions on the Northwest suburbs.… Read More

Industrial Research podcast: Q1 2017 stats preview

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industrial research podcast

Welcome to Episode 2 of JLL Chicago Industrial – Real Time, our Industrial Research podcast hosted by George Cutro and Chad Buch. In this episode, the team previews the Chicago market’s first quarter industrial statistics, breaking down everything from vacancy and absorption to construction costs and investment sales. Keep your eyes peeled for a detailed submarket report in the coming weeks!

Listen to the podcast with the player above or CLICK HERE.… Read More

JLL Chicago launches Industrial Research podcast

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industrial research podcast

Welcome to JLL Chicago Industrial – Real Time, our new Industrial Research podcast hosted by George Cutro and Chad Buch. In our first episode, the team discusses cold storage, the Chiquita Banana deal and dark horse submarkets for 2017. Enjoy and stay tuned for regular market trends, hot topics, deal coverage and more!

Listen to the podcast with the player above or CLICK HERE.… Read More

Everybody gets a roof deck: Fulton Market goes from Oprah to office mecca

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We’ve all seen it before. The meatpacking plant becomes the pioneering coffee shop becomes the hippest new neighborhood on the fringe. With 54 percent of the world’s population now living in urban areas and one million more moving to cities each week, the demand is there for these once-neglected submarkets to become cities’ greatest assets. For a prime local example, look no further than Fulton Market.

Fulton Market

Unlike the sleepy, 9-to-5 CBD and over-saturated River North and West Loop submarkets, Fulton Market offers off-the-beaten-path edge just minutes from downtown and is beginning to host an ever-widening array of uses. How did it all start? As one of Oprah’s “Favorite Things.”… Read More

Introducing JLL’s Build to Suit Practice Group

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Building a distribution center in the middle of a brutal Salt Lake City winter is challenging enough. Making the entire process financially viable while shifting delivery and budget risk (including winter conditions) onto the developer and landlord is what JLL’s Build to Suit Practice Group does best.

Build to Suit Practice Group

The JLL Chicago team of John Musgjerd, Ben Erskine and Steven Spinell recently changed their name to clearly reflect what they do best: build-to-suits on behalf of their clients. After completing Zurich North America’s critically acclaimed Schaumburg headquarters, the team, along with partner Todd Schaefer, connected with book publisher and distributor Readerlink on an entirely different project—a new 500,000 square-foot industrial distribution center servicing the western U.S.… Read More

Chicago 2025: Dynamic Expansion

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Chicago 2025

JLL’s Bruce Miller; GLP’s Paul Loosmann; Magellan’s David Carlins; JLL’s Dan Ryan, Ryan Severino and Meredith O’Connor; Oxford Capital Group’s John Rutledge; and The John Buck Company’s Dirk Degenaars at Chicago 2025: Dynamic Expansion.

Hundreds of industry leaders joined JLL Chicago last week to discuss Chicago 2025 and the city’s dynamic expansion. With 4,300 new hotel rooms planned, the lowest office vacancy in 16 years (10 percent), 4 million square feet of speculative industrial construction in the pipeline and 3 million square feet of office space headed to market, the next decade is going to be one for the books.

JLL Chief Economist Ryan Severino kicked things off with a broad-based market outlook, factoring in challenges of the past year from Brexit to an unexpected election result. Despite entering a 2017 filled with elevated policy uncertainty, the Chicago market’s universal truths are bolstering its investment appeal. Chicago’s still the third-largest metro economy in the U.S., with above average annual gross metro product growth and a diverse economy where no single industry comprises more than 20 percent of total employment. Going forward, our unusually high percentage of adults with undergraduate or graduate degrees will be of paramount importance in building on this economic momentum.

gallery_chicago2025_jll

JLL’s Chicago 2025 gallery wall, featuring the market’s hottest projects.

We’re definitely living in interesting times, agreed JLL International Director and panel moderator Bruce Miller. … Read More

Chicago 2025 market insights from JLL experts

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This week JLL Chicago will convene commercial real estate investors, clients and leading experts from throughout the city for Chicago 2025, our annual forecast. We sat down with JLL pros across asset classes ahead of the event for a preview of their sector-specific outlooks.

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10 Top Ten Lists – 2016

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With David Letterman off the air, JLL Chicago Research is here to fill your Top Ten void. Consider this your crash course for 2016, a year-in-review of Chicago’s best moments, focused on commercial real estate, workplace, market trends and pop culture.

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Downtown Chicago Building Matrix: Your guide to cost vs. class

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Chicago’s office market has traditionally been dominated by trophy towers and high-rise construction. While there is plenty of demand for trophy space fueling the current development activity (4.3 million square feet), those buildings are not meant for every tenant. Some companies are more attracted to loft spaces, creative offices or repositioned assets. To help in the tenant analysis, JLL Research has created the Downtown Chicago Building Matrix – Cost vs. Class with examples in each quadrant:downtown Chicago buildingRead More

More than 55,000 new multifamily units since 2000?!

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We did a double take too. Since 2000, the Chicago market has delivered or renovated 55,324 units. We’re talking all classes and properties with 20 units or more, excluding student housing and affordable housing.This number speaks to a Chicago market nearing the peak of the multifamily cycle. Rents have risen sharply since the turn of the century, mirroring a national trend. With roughly 7,000 units flooding the market in the next 24 months, though, we’ll likely hit our local capacity and see new supply start to taper.

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4 investment trends facing Chicago and beyond

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keith_largay_bisnow_jll

 

“The core of downtown Chicago is competing with global cities and we are a low cost leader,” says JLL Managing Director Keith Largay. At Bisnow’s recent State of the Market event, he outlined four investment trends that have investors feeling cautiously optimistic about the city’s future:… Read More