For the fourth straight year, JLL and our Executive Chairman, Roger Staubach, are taking sides when it comes to the Big Game, betting on the Denver Broncos to outman the Seattle Seahawks this Sunday night.
While the talking heads and Vegas odds makers look to point differentials, QB ratings and other on-the-field stats, Staubach and our JLL team are once again sticking with what we know best — commercial real estate — to make our pick.
According to our analysis of the last 13 season finale games, teams based in cities with the higher office vacancy rate (i.e. more space available for lease) have won the Lombardi Trophy 62 percent of the time, including last February when Baltimore (15.5 percent vacancy) edged San Francisco (11.8 percent vacancy). This year, the overall vacancy rate in the Mile High city stands at 13.9 percent compared with 12.5 percent in the Emerald City, making the Broncos the firm’s favorite to win the crown:
“Peyton Manning is one of the greatest NFL quarterbacks of all time,” Staubach said. “I believe in our JLL formula, but more importantly, I also believe in Peyton and I know he’s going to get the job done for the Broncos and the great people of Denver on Sunday night. I love Seattle’s ‘D,’ I love [quarterback] Russell Wilson and I love ‘The 12th Man,’” he said. “But this is Denver’s year.”
Click here for a video of Roger talking about his pick.